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Thursday, September 2, 2010

Just How Bad Might 2010 Be for Democrats?

A little historical perspective courtesy of Jim Geraghty and Charlie Cook:

Cook Political Report from September 1, 2006: 35 GOP House seats rated as Lean or Toss Up; 9 Democrat House seats rated Lean or Toss Up.

Actual swing in November: 31 Democrat challengers beat GOP incumbents or won open seat races; no GOP challengers beat any Democrat incumbents.

Cook Political Report from September 2, 2010: 73 Democrat-held seats are rated as Lean or Toss Up; 8 GOP House seats are rated Lean or Toss Up.